Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.184720 0.212310 0.243729 0.282392 0.329012 0.383818 0.453726
2025-06-08 0.139170 0.173622 0.217187 0.277289 0.359620 0.470836 0.636703
2025-06-15 0.116681 0.154671 0.206658 0.285121 0.404462 0.586158 0.898679
2025-06-22 0.098106 0.135937 0.190832 0.279572 0.426201 0.672568 1.152103
2025-06-29 0.086662 0.124675 0.182681 0.282293 0.459712 0.786694 1.505387
2025-07-06 0.076680 0.113706 0.172568 0.278864 0.480710 0.884284 1.876311
2025-07-13 0.070353 0.107346 0.168499 0.284459 0.519123 1.029121 2.442000
2025-07-20 0.065294 0.102237 0.165522 0.291100 0.561078 1.197768 3.191579
2025-07-27 0.060923 0.097642 0.162616 0.297071 0.603125 1.384540 4.156503
2025-08-03 0.057433 0.094096 0.161004 0.305188 0.652405 1.613311 5.505750
2025-08-10 0.053762 0.089760 0.157228 0.307880 0.689405 1.826414 7.060842
2025-08-17 0.050382 0.085565 0.153124 0.309004 0.722861 2.047379 8.985635
2025-08-24 0.046984 0.081051 0.147947 0.307084 0.748938 2.264567 11.321427
2025-08-31 0.043651 0.076344 0.141818 0.301879 0.764701 2.457767 13.958127
2025-09-07 0.041858 0.074463 0.141389 0.310721 0.826489 2.880032 19.551878
2025-09-14 0.039071 0.070318 0.135548 0.304580 0.838689 3.099874 24.147672
2025-09-21 0.037233 0.067932 0.133310 0.307618 0.883418 3.513886 32.811141
2025-09-28 0.035096 0.064733 0.128861 0.303805 0.903073 3.821074 41.948510
2025-10-05 0.033796 0.063174 0.128009 0.310033 0.962965 4.417865 60.813479
2025-10-12 0.032659 0.061858 0.127570 0.317429 1.031163 5.151765 91.819363
2025-10-19 0.031556 0.060517 0.126909 0.324083 1.099945 5.989141 141.901826
2025-10-26 0.030648 0.059524 0.126990 0.333133 1.184213 7.082902 236.565430
2025-11-02 0.029499 0.057894 0.125281 0.336136 1.242890 8.073701 377.143481